2024 Budget Faces Impending Threat as Oil Prices Plunge to $76.53 per Barrel

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Crude Oil Price Per Barrel in Nigeria Today
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In a concerning turn of events, the price of Nigeria’s Bonny Light has plummeted to $76.53 per barrel, posing a significant risk to the execution of the 2024 federal budget. Originally pegged at $77.96 per barrel, the drop raises apprehensions about funding and performance as the budget undergoes legislative scrutiny.

Stakeholders Express Concerns Over Budget Impact

Stakeholders are voicing anxieties about the potential adverse effects on the 2024 budget’s execution if this trend persists. The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission’s latest report reveals a 7.4% decrease in oil production to 1.25 million barrels per day in November, compounding concerns about revenue generation.

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Persistent Oil Theft Adds to Worries

Despite efforts to combat oil theft, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Ltd (NNPC Ltd) reported ongoing challenges. Between December 2 and December 8, 2023, 51 illegal refineries, 29 illegal connections, and eight vessels engaged in Automatic Identification System (AIS) infractions were uncovered. This persistent issue raises doubts about Nigeria’s ability to mitigate production disruptions.

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Minister of State Optimistic Amidst Challenges

Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, remains optimistic, assuring that oil production will surpass the 2024 budget target. Despite acknowledging challenges, he emphasized the government’s commitment to creating a conducive environment for stakeholders and enhancing oil and gas sector performance.

Nigeria’s Oil Gains Traction in Europe

In a bid to fill supply gaps left by the ban on Russian crude, Nigerian crude flow to Europe has increased significantly. This shift, noted at the Argus European Crude Conference, highlights the growing importance of Nigerian grades for European refiners, presenting potential opportunities amidst domestic challenges.

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Experts Advocate for Investment and Diversification

As concerns about budget discrepancies and corruption emerge, experts, including Austin Avuru, Founder and Executive Chairman of AA Holdings, call for massive investments in the oil and gas sector. The drop in investments, coupled with challenges from IOCs divesting, raises the urgency for increased funding and infrastructure development.

BudgIT Raises Alarm on Budget Discrepancies

BudgIT, a leading NGO promoting transparency, sounds the alarm over perceived loopholes and duplications in the proposed 2024 budget. The organization urges a thorough review, emphasizing the need for transparency and accountability in budget implementation.

As Nigeria grapples with the volatile oil market, uncertainties surrounding budget execution, persistent challenges in the oil sector, and calls for increased investment underscore the need for strategic planning and decisive actions in the coming year

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